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再无前沿和后方！乌军获得英国导弹技术！但是为何说却难以翻盘？,兵器志,原创 再无前沿和后方！乌军获得英国导弹技术！但是为何说却难以翻盘？_我的网站

一 |     Dozens of businesses, government offices, vehicles, and at least three police stations went up in flames in Freetown, Makeni, Kamakwie, and other cities across Sierra Leone from August 10 through 12, with over 113 people arrested and police introducing an emergency nationwide curfew and deploying tear gas and live ammunition to disperse crowds.,The curfew was lifted on August 13, with banks, businesses, government offices, and most stores reopened and communal services beginning to clear the damage. However, ramped-up security measures, including federal troop deployments to assist police, have been left in place.,What Happened?,Sierra Leone is one of the poorest nations in the world, ranking 186 out of 198 in a recent GDP purchasing power parity ranking. An estimated 80 percent of the population lives in poverty, many of them in the country’s rural areas. Like other nations in Africa, the country has faced special difficulties amid the global economic calamity brought on by COVID, and exacerbated by Western restrictions on Russian exports of agricultural goods and fertilizers amid the security crisis in Ukraine, which has caused a major jump in food prices.,AfricaAnti-Russia Sanctions Left Africa Without Access to Grain and Fertilisers, African Union Chief Says3 June, 11:13 GMT,As a net importer of both energy and food, Sierra Leone is especially vulnerable to global economic conditions, and along with food and fertilizers, fuel and electricity costs have also soared. Food prices alone have jumped by over 40 percent over the past few months, with a bag of rice once costing 350 leones now going for over 500. The country’s Central Bank recently removed three zeros from the national currency in a bid to restore confidence. The country has also been overcome by weeks of strikes by government workers, including doctors and teachers, and by small traders protesting poor conditions.,Coup Plot?,However, President Julius Maada Bio has also accused protesters of having ulterior motives beyond the cost of living crisis.,“This was not a protest against the high cost of living occasioned by the ongoing global economic crisis. The chant of the insurrectionists was for a violent overthrow of the democratically-elected government,” Bio said in an address on August 12 after returning to the country from a holiday in London.,Local media pointed to the chants of “Bio must go” among protesters as they gathered in the capital, and the president accused some of the demonstrators of consisting of “APC Warriors,” a reference to the opposition All People’s Congress party, which governed the country from 2007 until 2018, when Bio’s Sierra Leone People’s Party won national elections.,No doubt mindful of the violent civil war which shook the country between 1991 and 2002, claiming as many as 70,000 lives and displacing over 2.5 million people, Bio vowed that “in the coming weeks and months, [the] government will undertake necessary security actions meant to guarantee the peace and security of all citizens.”,“The security forces will, and must, act with great restraint and within their professional codes of service. But be assured that my government will crack down hard on violent insurrectionists, their collaborators, their sponsors and their supporters. My government will relentlessly fight those who would rather use terror and gruesome violence to achieve political goals,” the president said.,As a government, we will continue our engagement with Civil Society as we strive to promote sustainable peace, national cohesion and socio-economic development in Sierra Leone. #newdirectionagenda— President Julius Maada Bio (@PresidentBio) August 18, 2022,Bio did not elaborate on who these “sponsors” and “supporters” were, or whether they included any foreign actors.,Geopolitical Context,Like other African nations, Sierra Leone recently rejected calls by Washington and Brussels to show solidarity with the West and Ukraine and impose sanctions on Russia. But even before the escalation of the Ukraine crisis, relations between Freetown and Washington were tense at times. Last year, US President Joe Biden snubbed Bio by refusing to invite the African leader to the US’ so-called “Democracy Summit.” No reasons were given. However, neighboring Liberia, which faced mass civil unrest of its own between 2019 and 2020, and whose officials have been sanctioned by the US over suspected corruption, did get an invite.,While Sierra Leone maintains economic and political ties with its former British colonial masters, and remains a member of the Commonwealth of Nations, Freetown has sought to expand its partnerships with other geopolitical power centers, including Russia and China. President Bio attended the Russia-Africa Summit in Sochi in 2019, where he discussed ways to strengthen economic cooperation between the distant nations. In February 2021, Freetown signed onto Moscow’s efforts to prevent the deployment of weapons in outer space. In May 2021, Bio spoke by phone to President Xi Jinping of China, where they discussed the friendly, “brotherly” relations between the two nations, as well Chinese assistance to Freetown in measures against COVID, and agricultural and economic development.,In this context, the reactions of major foreign powers to this month’s unrest have been telling. While the United States, Britain, and the European Union collectively expressed “grave concern” over the “disturbing reports of violence” and urged the parties to “stay calm, promote accountability and ensure respect for human rights,” China’s Embassy smoothed over the protests altogether, refraining from wagging its finger at Freetown and instead trumpeting the expanding cooperation between the two countries.,We are gravely concerned by reports of violence surrounding today’s demonstrations in Sierra Leone. We urge all parties to stay calm, promote accountability, and ensure respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms.— Bureau of African Affairs (@AsstSecStateAF) August 10, 2022,Similarly, while UK High Commissioner to Sierra Leone Lisa Chesney lectured President Bio about how “violence has no place in a democracy and the necessary investigation into August 10 can sit alongside de-escalation,” the Russian Embassy in the Republic of Guinea, which concurrently serves as the Embassy in Sierra Leone, only presented a bare bones report on the situation in the country, Bio’s meetings with community and tribal leaders, and indicated that an internal “debriefing” was being created “regarding the causes, course and consequences of the riots on August 10.”。

二 |     全球地缘政治的舞台上，乌克兰与俄罗斯之间的冲突无疑是一个复杂而引人关注的话题。最近，英国政府批准向乌克兰转让“风暴之影”巡航导弹的制造技术，这一消息就像是在这场已经绵延多年的战争中投下了一颗重磅炸弹。这样看似有利于乌克兰的举动，却同时也揭示了其背后深层的军事困境和战略挑战。    首先，让我们来探究一下这款“风暴之影”导弹的特点。根据报道，它可以打击250公里外的目标，给乌克兰军队的远程打击能力带来了提升。

三 | 西方国家对乌克兰的支持不断加码，似乎在加快其武器现代化进程。    但是，我们不可忽视的是，这种导弹的性能也并非全方位压制敌军。实际上，俄罗斯军队具备一定的拦截能力，换句话说，这种导弹在帮助乌克兰增强火力的同时，也无法让其在战场上扭转整体局势。        对于乌军而言，与美军的现代化战术相比，他们面临的确实是更加复杂的局面。美军在历史上的战争往往目标明确，若成功推翻了对手政权，后续的治安问题通常由扶持的政权来解决。然而，乌克兰此时不能简单模仿美军的打法，因为其面对的是俄罗斯这样一个拥有强大地面控制能力的对手。    自2022年俄罗斯展开特别军事行动以来，顿巴斯地区的控制权显然已不再完全归乌克兰所有，反而俄军在这一地区的驻扎受到了部分民众的欢迎，这从某种程度上说，对乌军而言无疑是个巨大的心理压力。    更为严峻的是，乌克兰的征兵形势如今已经堪忧。随着时间的推移，乌克兰部队的损失在不断加大，前线的伤亡率高得令人难以承受，再加上使用强制手段征兵的情况屡见不鲜。    现阶段，乌军所能集结的精锐部队数量正在显著减少，导致他们在反攻俄军的过程中显得力不从心。结合乌军在收复赫尔松后几乎没有取得任何显著进展的现实，可以说，如今的乌克兰面临着多重挑战。

四 |         再来看这场冲突的根本性质，双方的主要目标是消耗对方的国力。乌克兰希望通过外部援助加强自身的打击能力，而俄罗斯则在积极恢复本国的生产能力并加大打击力度。    值得注意的是，俄罗斯油气企业在经历了之前的困难后，生产能力逐渐恢复，且油价已经出现下滑，这些都将为其持续的军事行动提供后盾。正因如此，单纯依靠外部的支持和补给，毫无疑问不能改变乌克兰的命运。    另外，随着战线的僵持，双方的攻击目标已经开始向对方的后方工业设施和运输节点转移。这不仅仅是一场简单的传统战争，而是一场针对国力的消耗战。无人机的广泛使用，使得双方都在努力寻找能够实现战略突破的机会。然而，这种高频率、密集型的打击并未必能迅速见到成效，反而可能使两国陷入一种更加长期的对抗状态。        在这样的背景下，乌克兰如果想要真正扭转战局，必须在战略目标上做出调整。光凭借外援和短期战术的优势，显然难以确保长久的胜利。

五 | 或许，乌克兰需要考虑的不仅是军事打击的扩展，还包括如何更好地整合国内外资源，进行有效的外交斗争，寻找可行的和平解决途径。    当前乌克兰和俄罗斯之间的对抗不仅是武器和力量的较量，更是一场战略智慧的博弈。

六 | 从“风暴之影”巡航导弹的技术转让，到乌军面临的征兵危机和富有韧性的俄罗斯国力，都是这场战争不可忽视的因素。当我们站在历史的长河中回望时，乌克兰的未来走向，将是一个深具悬念和复杂性的议题。返回，查看更多。

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Published on:02:47:47